https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/tags/early-warning/Early WarningHugoBlox Kit (https://hugoblox.com)es-esThu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/media/icon_hu_eee4a95885829ab2.pnghttps://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/tags/early-warning/https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/publications/phi3-recd-integration/Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/publications/phi3-recd-integration/<h2 id="key-contributions">Key contributions</h2> <ul> <li>Couples <strong>Φ₃ / excess³</strong> into <strong>RECD</strong> dynamics (bilingual EN + ES).</li> <li><strong>Proposal 1</strong> (default): legacy RECD increment × surplus-gated gain Γ₃ with activation gate A₃.</li> <li><strong>Proposal 2</strong> (experimental): dual-channel advance of the discrete clock.</li> <li>Shifts Φ₃ from a <em>parallel</em> metric toward a <em>structural</em> clock contribution.</li> </ul> <h2 id="links">Links</h2> <table> <thead> <tr> <th>Resource</th> <th>URL</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>DOI / PDF</td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Code</td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Methods base</td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <h2 id="citation">Citation</h2> <div class="highlight"><pre tabindex="0" class="chroma"><code class="language-fallback" data-lang="fallback"><span class="line"><span class="cl">Padilla-Villanueva, J. (2026). Integrating Φ₃ (excess³) into RECD dynamics: From parallel metric to structural clock contribution. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21400599 </span></span></code></pre></div>https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/publications/systemic-tau-recd-framework/Fri, 10 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/publications/systemic-tau-recd-framework/<h2 id="key-contributions">Key contributions</h2> <ul> <li><strong>Systemic Tau (τ_s):</strong> ordinal multivariate coupling via Kendall-type rank concordance.</li> <li><strong>RECD:</strong> intrinsic event-driven time from nested ordinal conjunctions (coincidence → persistence → synergistic surplus).</li> <li>Unified relational theory for hierarchical ordinal structure and critical transitions.</li> <li>Anchor preprint for the open software and monographic program.</li> </ul> <h2 id="links">Links</h2> <table> <thead> <tr> <th>Resource</th> <th>URL</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>DOI / PDF</td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Software</td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Synthesis</td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <h2 id="citation">Citation</h2> <div class="highlight"><pre tabindex="0" class="chroma"><code class="language-fallback" data-lang="fallback"><span class="line"><span class="cl">Padilla-Villanueva, J. (2026). Systemic Tau and the RECD framework: A relational theory of hierarchical ordinal conjunctions and critical transitions in complex systems. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21287252 </span></span></code></pre></div>https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/publications/07-dengue-three-layer/Mon, 01 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/publications/07-dengue-three-layer/https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/publications/dengue-early-warning-2026/Mon, 01 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/publications/dengue-early-warning-2026/https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/project/dengue-ews/Tue, 01 Nov 2022 00:00:00 +0000https://johelpadilla.github.io/academic-site/project/dengue-ews/<p>Línea aplicada en <strong>salud ambiental y enfermedades vectoriales</strong>:</p> <ol> <li><strong>Detección temprana de brotes de dengue</strong> con patrones ordinales multivariados y Tau Sistémico sobre datos reales de Iquitos (Perú) y San Juan (Puerto Rico).</li> <li><strong>Tesis DrPH (2022)</strong>: dinámica espaciotemporal de <em>Aedes aegypti</em> en la zona del Caño Martín Peña (San Juan), con repercusiones para la salud de comunidades aledañas (ProQuest 2728033618).</li> </ol> <p>Publicaciones relacionadas en el .</p>